i do not know about guessing right this year but he is certainly right about complexity in their predictions. i get the shot every year. even if they guess wrong and miss one, why let a strain they guessed right on get you and weaken you so the one they missed can really do a job on you? take the shot.
--- On Sun, 5/10/09, Kathy Pink <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
> From: Kathy Pink <[log in to unmask]>
> Subject: Re: Time to wake up the list, if possible
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Date: Sunday, May 10, 2009, 3:19 PM
> Are you sure , Peter?
>
> On 5/10/09, Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
> > That's a very bad assumption. Just so happens,
> if you got your flu shot
> > this year you are mostly protected from the current
> version of the swine flu
> > (as far as we know at the moment). The reason
> being, that the people doing
> > the predicting guessed correctly on one of what was
> likely to be the most
> > likely new variants to show up this year, Not
> getting the flu shot each
> > year greatly increases your odds of catching the flu.
> > I'll be attending a lecture on Monday by one of the
> people who heads up the
> > effort to make the predictions, part of the talk is
> about how they pick
> > which flu variants are most likely to show up. I
> can already tell you its
> > an extremely set of sophisticated set of predictions
> that takes into account
> > mutation rates (among other things). Please
> don't put your health and the
> > health of others around you at risk, get your flu
> shots every year!
> >
> > On Sat, May 9, 2009 at 2:34 PM, Tamar Raine <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
> >
> > > Yeah, your conclusion is right, Virginia, One
> reason I don't get flu shots
> > > is they make them based on last year's flu. They
> can't really predict it.
> > >
> >
> >
> > --
> > Peter Hunsberger
> >
> > -----------------------
> >
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> >
>
>
> --
> Kathy Jo Pink
> e-Mail Addresses: [log in to unmask], [log in to unmask],
> [log in to unmask],
> and [log in to unmask]
>
>
>
> Pogo Usual ScreenName: PerkPinkPerky
>
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