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Date: | Sun, 3 Apr 2011 18:21:58 -0400 |
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Ask the Japanese about unplanned events.
--
Jim Hicks
Quality Restoration Works, LLC
917-575-8545
> From: Gabriel Orgrease <[log in to unmask]>
> Reply-To: The listserv where the buildings do the talking
> <[log in to unmask]>
> Date: Sun, 3 Apr 2011 09:43:22 -0400
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: Re: [BP] SOS Gab & Eti 1.43
>
> On 4/2/2011 9:36 PM, Ruth Barton wrote:
>> In education circles these are known as "Action Plans", without the "Surprise
>> or Unplanned Events" rectangle. I'll have to suggest they include that one,
>> as there sure are plenty of them in education. Ruth
>>
> the reference to surprise or unplanned events, I am reading The Black
> Swan (not the movie) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and it is ALL about
> unplanned events
>
> what is tough for me about reading a book about how we cannot plan for
> unplanned events is that I am also working on a fairly extensive and
> complicated conceptual cost estimate for adaptive re-use of a complex of
> farm structures
>
> it was this conflict between an attempt at prediction and the futility
> and mirage of predicting anything that led to tracking our use of paper
> towels, my analogy was that keeping track of all of the numbers was like
> tearing off paper towels and throwing them around the room and then
> trying to keep track of which ones went where. so we decided they need
> labels
>
> ][<
>
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