Not sure of your question? If it's about this years shot protecting against
swine flue, that is our current best knowledge.
If you're asking about the effectiveness of getting the shot each year,
absolutely.  There is a very small portion of the population that should not
get the shot (they have compromised immune systems).  For everyone else,
you're odds are about 75% better for not getting the flu -- regardless of
which strain actually shows up --, if you get your shot, then if you do not
get the shot.

On Sun, May 10, 2009 at 2:19 PM, Kathy Pink <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

> Are you sure , Peter?
>
> On 5/10/09, Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
> > That's a very bad assumption.  Just so happens, if you got your flu shot
> > this year you are mostly protected from the current version of the swine
> flu
> > (as far as we know at the moment).  The reason being, that the people
> doing
> > the predicting guessed correctly on one of what was likely to be the most
> > likely new variants to show up this year,  Not getting the flu shot each
> > year greatly increases your odds of catching the flu.
> > I'll be attending a lecture on Monday by one of the people who heads up
> the
> > effort to make the predictions, part of the talk is about how they pick
> > which flu variants are most likely to show up.  I can already tell you
> its
> > an extremely set of sophisticated set of predictions that takes into
> account
> > mutation rates (among other things).  Please don't put your health and
> the
> > health of others around you at risk, get your flu shots every year!
> >
> > On Sat, May 9, 2009 at 2:34 PM, Tamar Raine <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
> >
> > > Yeah, your conclusion is right, Virginia, One reason I don't get flu
> shots
> > > is they make them based on last year's flu. They can't really predict
> it.
> > >
> >
> >
> > --
> > Peter Hunsberger
> >
> > -----------------------
> >
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> >
> > http://listserv.icors.org/SCRIPTS/WA-ICORS.EXE?SUBED1=c-palsy
> >
>
>
> --
> Kathy Jo Pink
> e-Mail Addresses:  [log in to unmask], [log in to unmask],
> [log in to unmask], and [log in to unmask]
>
>
>
> Pogo Usual ScreenName:  PerkPinkPerky
>
> -----------------------
>
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>
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>



-- 
Peter Hunsberger

-----------------------

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