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Subject:
From:
Kelly Pierce <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Kelly Pierce <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 24 May 1999 23:10:39 -0500
Content-Type:
TEXT/PLAIN
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TEXT/PLAIN (337 lines)
Schaumburg is a western suburb of Chicago.  In addition to being the site
of the Chicago area's largest shopping mall, schaumburg is the home of
Motorola, a company that has been connected to the Internet for many
years.  The story below ran on the front page of the New York times on
Wednesday.

kelly


May 19, 1999

Internet Fuels Revival of Centralized 'Big Iron' Computing

By STEVE LOHR with JOHN MARKOFF

      SCHAUMBURG, Ill. -- As Walt Grom tours his domain -- row upon row
     of hulking black computers -- he speaks of the importance of
     "fundamental engineering disciplines" and "brute force experience."
     The vast room is spotless, brightly lit and chilled by air
     conditioning, an austere interior designed for the care and feeding
     of big computers.

     The huge datacenter, run by IBM, is one of the engine rooms of the
     Internet, powering the World Wide Web sites and electronic commerce
     operations of some 400 companies and organizations including
     BankAmerica, Macy's, Goodyear and the National Hockey League.

Photo credit:
                                      Carol Powers for The New York Times

Photo caption:
     At America Online's Dulles Technology Center employees manage a huge
                                                      network of servers.
     _________________________________________________________________

     Such computer centers, known as server farms, are the unglamorous
     side of the Internet revolution -- a world apart from the young,
     urban culture of Web design artists with their tattoos and
     earrings. Here, a no-nonsense style prevails, and the hallways tend
     to be populated by big, beefy men with beepers.

     "We're happy to do the plumbing," said Grom, who runs IBM's server
     farm in Schaumburg.

     Internet datacenters are sprouting up across the country in a sure
     sign of the trend toward once again housing information and
     computer power centrally -- a seeming reversal of the last two
     decades of computing.

     The personal computer has defined the industry's recent history and
     how computers were used. As personal computers spread rapidly in
     the early 1980s, they were seen as engines of individual
     empowerment and decentralization of information. Millions of
     islands of information were suddenly stored on desktop machines --
     knowledge residing in the spreadsheet, word processing and database
     programs of individuals. It was a technical and social repudiation
     of the previous three decades, dominated by mainframes and
     minicomputers, a computing formula based on "big iron" machines
     that held all the information.

     But in an odd alliance, the Internet -- hailed as the technology
     behind a new economics, tearing down old hierarchies and flattening
     corporate organizations -- is fueling a recentralization of
     information and a revival of big iron computing.

     The Internet holds the promise of anytime, anywhere access to
     information and entertainment delivered over powerful networks to
     an array of information appliances like handheld devices, cell
     phones with screens and television set-top boxes, not just personal
     computers.

     That makes the present round of information centralization very
     different from the old days. The glass-house datacenters of the
     1960s were controlling gatekeepers, with information rationed from
     the center. Today's modern server farms, by contrast, are powerful
     nodes on the Internet, making information more readily available to
     individuals.

     There are, to be sure, privacy concerns raised by the prospect of
     creating increasingly large digital storehouses of personal
     information. Those concerns, technology experts say, require
     clear-cut corporate and public policies to protect privacy as
     collecting, storing and distributing information becomes easier and
     cheaper in a digital economy.

     Still, even personal computer pioneers generally regard the shift
     to Internet-based computing as an irreversible step toward
     efficiency rather than a retreat from the information democracy
     they sought to foster.

     "People want to own their own information but they don't want to
     maintain it, and that is driving the shift toward centralization,"
     said Adele Goldberg, a member of the team at Xerox Palo Alto
     Research Center in the early 1970s that created the founding
     concepts of personal computing.

     Because of the Internet, companies are starting to embrace
     centralized computing again for the first time in decades. "A real
     mind shift is under way in corporate America," Scott Winkler, an
     analyst at Gartner Group, a research firm, said.

     In some ways, corporate America is following the Internet leaders.
     For behind an America Online or an Amazon.com is a massive arsenal
     of computing power. America Online Inc. supports its service to
     more than 16 million subscribers -- with a million people using the
     system simultaneously on many evenings -- with two vast server
     farms in Virginia and a third one planned, a $520-million project
     announced in March. (Such datacenters are known as server farms
     because they are veritable crop-rows of big computers that send, or
     serve, data out to users.)

     "The good old economics of scale really do apply when it comes to
     server farms," Marc Andreessen, the chief technology officer of
     America Online, said.

     The new model of computing -- a proliferation of information
     appliances linked by the Internet to server farms -- has been
     called the "post-PC era." For the post-PC vision to be fully
     realized will take years, and billions of dollars of investment to
     build ultra-fast digital networks, wireless technology and new
     kinds of handheld and other devices.

     And to say that computing appears to be heading toward a post-PC
     era is not to say the PC will become obsolete anytime soon. Indeed,
     the PC industry has benefited from the rise of the Internet so far
     because the PC today is the principal access device to the Net.
     Desktop alternatives to the PC like the "network computer," or NC,
     running only a Web browser for tapping into the Internet -- first
     proposed in 1996 by Lawrence Ellison, chairman of Oracle Corp. --
     have not yet slowed PC sales.

     But the evolution toward the Internet model, most analysts agree,
     represents the most significant change in the industry since the PC
     replaced the mainframe as the center of gravity in computing two
     decades ago. The shift represents a daunting challenge to the big
     winners of the PC industry, Microsoft Corp. and Intel Corp., whose
     software and microchips are the essential technology in most PCs.
     Their high profit margins are expected to erode as consumers
     increasingly use simpler, lower-cost devices to tap into the
     Internet.

     Both companies recognize the challenge and are responding. As one
     step, Intel announced in April that it was planning a big move into
     Internet services by building and running server farms. The move
     seems a big departure for Intel, whose microprocessors serve as the
     electronic brains of most PCs. But Intel sees the server farms as
     part of its future of moving beyond the personal computer to become
     a "building-block supplier" to the Internet economy.

     "The PC industry is changing drastically," said Andrew Grove, the
     chairman of Intel, "and when it's over it probably won't even be
     called the PC industry. It will become the Web infrastructure
     industry."

     Microsoft is preparing for the day when people may keep much of
     their personal and professional information on large servers with
     an initiative called Megaserver. The concept is that a person will
     be able tap into a large central database via the Web to get
     e-mail, personal schedules, news, weather updates and other
     information anywhere, anytime.

     Even Microsoft concedes the access device will not always be a PC.
     "While the PC will stay central, we realize there is demand for
     computing on non-PC devices," said Steven Ballmer, the Microsoft
     president.

     An early test bed for the Megaserver concept is Hotmail, a
     Web-based e-mail system, which Microsoft bought for an estimated
     $300 million in January 1998. Since then, the number of users of
     the free e-mail service has jumped from less than 10 million to 40
     million. With Hotmail, a person can retrieve e-mail from anywhere
     with any PC or other device equipped with a Web browser instead of
     being required to use a particular machine loaded with one's own
     e-mail software.

     "Hotmail has served as a big wake-up call for us, and we're
     delighted that we bought it," John Ludwig, a vice president of
     Microsoft, said.

     Hotmail is supported by four large datacenters, and Microsoft is
     using them as incubators for developing the heavy-duty software
     needed to run server farms, thus improving the capabilities of
     Windows NT, the company's most powerful operating system. But
     Microsoft, Ludwig notes, is also working to improve the software
     the user sees, making it easier to use.

     "There's more software to write than ever before -- that's the good
     news for us," he observed.

     Microsoft added another centralized information service in April
     when it acquired Jump Networks Inc., a Web-based calendar and
     datebook system.

     Microsoft's move came a few weeks after America Online purchased an
     Internet calendar service, When Inc., for an estimated $150
     million. The start-up, which stores personal scheduling information
     on a Web site, started its fast-growing service just four months
     earlier.

     Both companies are headed in the same direction, though from
     different starting points, one a software giant, the other an
     online service. Clearly, the line between software and services
     will increasingly blur as the shift to Internet-based computing
     proceeds.

     In an internal memo last fall titled "The Era Ahead," Bill Gates,
     the Microsoft chairman, pointed to the opportunity as software
     becomes more a services business. "We get a closer relationship
     with customers and a predictable revenue model because they pay us
     a regular fee for the service," he wrote.

     But Gates also warned of the rising threat to some Microsoft
     products likely to come from online services. "A company such as
     America Online is in competition for all our information-management
     software, because they can do it through their servers," he
     observed.

     In Silicon Valley, dozens of start-ups have been created as
     Internet services to centrally handle personal information. The new
     companies mostly focus on e-mail, calendars and back-up file
     storage to insure information is not lost when an individual's PC
     crashes.

     "Many of these applications should be moved onto the Internet
     because it is more reliable, available everywhere and cheaper,"
     said Eric Brewer, a University of California at Berkeley computer
     scientist who is a co-founder of Inktomi Corp., a Web software
     company.

     Building and running the computing engine rooms behind these
     Internet services promises to be a good business for years to come.
     Yet this behind-the-scenes technology business -- like the market
     for Internet appliances -- will most likely be more diverse and
     competitive than the bygone mainframe era, whose dominant supplier
     was IBM, or the current PC era, ruled by Microsoft and Intel.

     The start of the trend back to central computing has already been
     rewarding for the established producers of "big iron" machines like
     Sun Microsystems Inc., a leader in computers running the powerful
     Unix operating system, and IBM, whose mainframes have been retooled
     as Internet servers. The big Unix and mainframe server computers
     range in price from $100,000 to millions of dollars.

     "The big growth for us has been in everything-dot-com -- the
     revolution in Internet commerce in all its forms," said Edward
     Zander, the president of Sun.

     Indeed, as more and more companies begin to view the Internet not
     as an experiment but as a technology on which they run their
     businesses, they need Web sites, e-mail networks and Internet
     order-processing systems to be up and running around the clock,
     seven days a week. That kind of reliable, industrial-strength
     computing is the traditional bailiwick of mainframes and Unix
     systems.

     Still, PC technology is improving steadily and PC servers --
     typically using Intel microprocessors and Microsoft's Windows NT
     software -- are increasingly tackling heavy-duty computing chores.
     Some heavily trafficked Web sites, handling huge amounts of
     business, are backed up by server farms using mostly PC technology.

     Dell Computer Corp., a direct marketer of PCs, says that sales from
     its Web site are now running at a pace of $5 billion a year. "Look
     at our Web site," Michael Dell, the company chairman, said. "It's
     Dell servers running Windows NT. Yes, we have a way to go at the
     high end of computing, but don't bet against the PC industry."

Photo credit:
                                     Todd Buchanan for The New York Times

Photo caption:
        Walter J. Grom, right, is a director at IBM and works with Wiliam
         Barnett to manage day to day operations of IBM's huge electronic
                                                        commerce network.
     _________________________________________________________________

     Gary Hargreaves does not much care about who supplies the
     technology. He just wants it to work.

     Hargreaves manages an electronic commerce project at Goodyear Tire
     and Rubber Co. -- a company Web site set up to more efficiently
     distribute and share information with its tire dealers.

     The current system, which is gradually being phased out, is costly
     by any measure -- time, paper or aggravation. Three thick packets
     of documents are mailed out each week to Goodyear's 2,400 dealers
     in the United States and Canada. The company's call center in
     Akron, Ohio, receives 2,500 inquiries a day from the dealers, many
     of which are merely to obtain routine information on prices and the
     availability of tires.

     All of that kind of information -- along with sales reporting -- is
     being transferred to the Web site. A third of Goodyear's North
     American dealers are online and using the Web site, though the rest
     are joining soon, and Hargreaves is already impressed by the
     results. The call center is reporting fewer routine calls, he says,
     and dealers say they are getting more timely information, which
     helps them sell more tires and improve customer service. The weekly
     mailings will be stopped at the start of next year.

     For all the attention understandably focused on the meteoric rise
     of online retailers and auctioneers, like Amazon and Ebay, the
     biggest economic impact of the Internet in the next few years is
     expected to be inside old-line companies like Goodyear -- boosting
     productivity by electronically automating back-office transactions.

     Though Goodyear has an in-house datacenter, it chose to let outside
     experts provide the computing power for its Web site -- a role
     known as hosting -- and run its electronic commerce network. Many
     companies are making the same choice. That is why the Web hosting
     business of both established companies like IBM and AT&T, and
     newcomers like Exodus Communications Inc. and Verio Inc., is
     projected to grow from $696 million last year to $10.7 billion in
     2002, according to International Data Corp., a research firm.

     Internet companies like America Online, to be sure, will have their
     own server farms. But others increasingly view computing as a
     utility, a service to be purchased like electricity. Indeed,
     technology historians note that when factories began using
     electricity in the late 19th century, each had its own power plant.
     Later, regional utilities were created and sold electric service to
     the factories.

     At Goodyear, Hargreaves seemed to apply the same logic to his
     company's decision to have its Web site for dealers managed by IBM
     at its server farm in Schaumburg. "We're in the tire business," he
     explained. "Why run the digital power plant ourselves?"


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