Lamin,
This is the kind of analysis the opposition should be doing instead of pointing fingers to one another about who did what in the election. I am particularly disturbed by recent reports of Waa's reaction to Darboe conceding to Jammeh. I am also very disturbed by reports of an NCP stalwart being made to defend Dibba's choice to run on NCP ticket. No wonder radio Kangkang is busy about which opposition will be what in the next Jammeh cabinet .
I hope they the opposition realize that this is not the time to point fingers at each other. This is the time to put in place what PDOIS called tactical alliance. If Thursday's election results is to be meaningful, the 47% who did not vote for Yahya must be represented in the National Assembly. Knowing how the electoral system in the Gambia works, the opposition would need a miracle to capture 47% of the seats!
The UDP leadership must understand that harassment and intimidation of their ranks and files is meant to prevent them from organizing before Febrauary. Afterall that strategy worked very well between 1996 and 2000. Mr Darboe and his team's immediate focus should be to meet leaders of NCP, NRP and PDOIS to get this alliance going. The strategy must be to elect a few but effective National Assembly members even if that means 1 per opposition party. For the last thing Gambia needs is a National Assembly without an opposition. I am sure it is no secret that an APRC government would be much happier without the likes of Hamat Bah and Sidia Jatta in the National Assembly. As a result they would do every thing necessary to get them out come February.
In the same vein the other parties should realize that rumours about cabinet positions for Bah, Dibba and Jatta are baites, not for the leaders but their followers come February. An average Bah supporter for instance will be more likely to vote for APRC if he is told that its a matter of time before Bah takes up a cabinet position in the next Jammeh administration. And that they the voters in those constituencies would be comitting political suicide to vote against Yahya for it is just a matter of time before Bah, Jatta and Dibba take up a position in the next Jammeh cabinet.
Malanding
----- Original Message -----
From: Lamin Manneh PF
To: [log in to unmask]
Sent: Monday, October 29, 2001 2:00 PM
Subject: Re: PRESIDENT JAMMEH'S REMOVAL IS INEVITABLE
Tombong, Please add up the results opposition parties have in the constituencies I've mentioned and compare that with APRC's. APRC was outnumbered in most places or the race too tight.
I bet if a united opposition confront APRC in the National Assembly elections, they(APRC) will have fewer than 10 seats.
Lamin PF Manneh
>From: TOMBONG SAIDY
>Reply-To: The Gambia and related-issues mailing list
>To: [log in to unmask]
>Subject: Re: PRESIDENT JAMMEH'S REMOVAL IS INEVITABLE
>Date: Mon, 29 Oct 2001 04:35:31 -0500
>
>Lamin Manneh PF wrote:
>
>"Saul, Yaya is not a fool. He must build a strong coalition to get
>enough
>national assembly seats. With a strong united opposition front,
>Yaya's
>removal by means of a vote of no confidence is inevitable.
>No wonder he is contemplating getting Jatta and Bah in his boat.
>
>Out of the 35 official results i was able to get, Yaya is
>comfortable in
>only 12 constituencies. These are: 1. Banjul Central, 2 Foni
>Berefet, 3.
>Serrekunda west; 4.Jeshwang; 5. Janjanbureh; 6. Jokadou;
>7.Foni Jarol; 8. Foni Bintang; 9. Kombo South; 10. Kombo East; 11.
>Kombo
>North, 12. Kombo Central.
>
>The opposition coalition have comfortable led or better chance of
>winning in
>the following constituencies. 1. Banjul North; 2. Jarra East;
>3.Bakau; 4.
>Banjul South(not too good); 5. Jarra
>Central(not too good); 6. Jarra East; 7. Kian East; 8. Nianija; 9.
>Serrekunda East; 10. Niani; 11. Niamina Dankunku; 12. Toumanna; 13.
>Sami;
>14. wuli west; 15. Serrekunda Central; 16. Wuli East;
>17. Niamina West; 18. Kantora; 19. Kian Central; 20. Central
>Badibou; 21.
>Lower Badibou; 22.
>Kian West; 23. Sandu."
>
>Manneh,
>
>
>When will you guys wake up from your dreams? What makes you think
>that
>President Jammeh will be removed by a vote of no confidence. You
>better
>double check your figures and the results of the election. PRESIDENT
>JAMMEH
>WON 41 OUT OF 48 CONSTITUENCIES OCTOBER 18TH 2001. So how come he is
>comfortable in only 12? This is wishful thinking only. APRC will win
>a
>minimum of 35 contituencies including the Baddibus and the
>contituencies of
>Ousainou Darboe and Waa Juwara.
>
>You guys keep complaining and dreaming. The APRC is already working
>on the
>legislative elections.
>
>The majority of Gambians appreciate what APRC is doing and they will
>continue voting for them.
>
>PEACE
>
>Tombong
>
>
>
>_________________________________________________________________
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