Tombong,
You are predicting a 60% gain for Jammeh. I have not been in the Gambia for
so long and might not be the best predictor here, but I predict 65-70% of the
votes.
My reasons are:
1. The undercover nature of the PPP taking over the UDP will be a big turn
off for most Gambians. And to especially the UDP who were the leading
opposition party.

2. The fact that the oppositions are going to be sharing the same votes and
possibly even less than they gained the last time, I predict more gains for
Jammeh.

3. President Jammeh have become a better politician than he was some years
ago, and this will also drive in his favor.


Ousman Jallow Bojang.

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