gts > "In other words it is not a tested hypothesis. It is a mere
conjecture, which you are now stating as fact."

Conjecture is a guess.  This rises from mere conjecture to a theory (which
may be fact) proposed not by me, not by the BBC writer, but by the
researchers of the British-Medical-Association-published Bristol study.
They found no health benefit from the consumption of moderate alcohol,
that the U graph is more like a J.

There may be many theories to explain away this finding.  I cannot think
of any and am asking you to enlighten me.