Ask the Japanese about unplanned events. -- Jim Hicks Quality Restoration Works, LLC 917-575-8545 > From: Gabriel Orgrease <[log in to unmask]> > Reply-To: The listserv where the buildings do the talking > <[log in to unmask]> > Date: Sun, 3 Apr 2011 09:43:22 -0400 > To: [log in to unmask] > Subject: Re: [BP] SOS Gab & Eti 1.43 > > On 4/2/2011 9:36 PM, Ruth Barton wrote: >> In education circles these are known as "Action Plans", without the "Surprise >> or Unplanned Events" rectangle. I'll have to suggest they include that one, >> as there sure are plenty of them in education. Ruth >> > the reference to surprise or unplanned events, I am reading The Black > Swan (not the movie) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and it is ALL about > unplanned events > > what is tough for me about reading a book about how we cannot plan for > unplanned events is that I am also working on a fairly extensive and > complicated conceptual cost estimate for adaptive re-use of a complex of > farm structures > > it was this conflict between an attempt at prediction and the futility > and mirage of predicting anything that led to tracking our use of paper > towels, my analogy was that keeping track of all of the numbers was like > tearing off paper towels and throwing them around the room and then > trying to keep track of which ones went where. so we decided they need > labels > > ][< > > -- > **Please remember to trim posts, as requested in the Terms of Service** > > To terminate puerile preservation prattling among pals and the uncoffee-ed, or > to change your settings, go to: > <http://listserv.icors.org/archives/bullamanka-pinheads.html> > -- **Please remember to trim posts, as requested in the Terms of Service** To terminate puerile preservation prattling among pals and the uncoffee-ed, or to change your settings, go to: <http://listserv.icors.org/archives/bullamanka-pinheads.html>