yes, it is next years mutation that they are worried about. with human, bird, and swine DNA it could mutate a lot of different ways. 

--- On Sun, 5/10/09, Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

> From: Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]>
> Subject: Re: Time to wake up the list, if possible
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Date: Sunday, May 10, 2009, 1:58 AM
> That's a very bad assumption. 
> Just so happens, if you got your flu shot
> this year you are mostly protected from the current version
> of the swine flu
> (as far as we know at the moment).  The reason being,
> that the people doing
> the predicting guessed correctly on one of what was likely
> to be the most
> likely new variants to show up this year,  Not getting
> the flu shot each
> year greatly increases your odds of catching the flu.
> I'll be attending a lecture on Monday by one of the people
> who heads up the
> effort to make the predictions, part of the talk is about
> how they pick
> which flu variants are most likely to show up.  I can
> already tell you its
> an extremely set of sophisticated set of predictions that
> takes into account
> mutation rates (among other things).  Please don't put
> your health and the
> health of others around you at risk, get your flu shots
> every year!
> 
> On Sat, May 9, 2009 at 2:34 PM, Tamar Raine <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
> 
> > Yeah, your conclusion is right, Virginia, One reason I
> don't get flu shots
> > is they make them based on last year's flu. They can't
> really predict it.
> >
> 
> 
> -- 
> Peter Hunsberger
> 
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