On 4/2/2011 9:36 PM, Ruth Barton wrote:
> In education circles these are known as "Action Plans", without the "Surprise or Unplanned Events" rectangle.  I'll have to suggest they include that one, as there sure are plenty of them in education.  Ruth
>    
the reference to surprise or unplanned events, I am reading The Black 
Swan (not the movie) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and it is ALL about 
unplanned events

what is tough for me about reading a book about how we cannot plan for 
unplanned events is that I am also working on a fairly extensive and 
complicated conceptual cost estimate for adaptive re-use of a complex of 
farm structures

it was this conflict between an attempt at prediction and the futility 
and mirage of predicting anything that led to tracking our use of paper 
towels, my analogy was that keeping track of all of the numbers was like 
tearing off paper towels and throwing them around the room and then 
trying to keep track of which ones went where. so we decided they need 
labels

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