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Subject:
From:
Roland Hicks <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
The listserv where the buildings do the talking <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 3 Apr 2011 18:21:58 -0400
Content-Type:
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Ask the Japanese about unplanned events.
-- 
Jim Hicks
Quality Restoration Works, LLC
917-575-8545


> From: Gabriel Orgrease <[log in to unmask]>
> Reply-To: The listserv where the buildings do the talking
> <[log in to unmask]>
> Date: Sun, 3 Apr 2011 09:43:22 -0400
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: Re: [BP] SOS Gab & Eti 1.43
> 
> On 4/2/2011 9:36 PM, Ruth Barton wrote:
>> In education circles these are known as "Action Plans", without the "Surprise
>> or Unplanned Events" rectangle.  I'll have to suggest they include that one,
>> as there sure are plenty of them in education.  Ruth
>>    
> the reference to surprise or unplanned events, I am reading The Black
> Swan (not the movie) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and it is ALL about
> unplanned events
> 
> what is tough for me about reading a book about how we cannot plan for
> unplanned events is that I am also working on a fairly extensive and
> complicated conceptual cost estimate for adaptive re-use of a complex of
> farm structures
> 
> it was this conflict between an attempt at prediction and the futility
> and mirage of predicting anything that led to tracking our use of paper
> towels, my analogy was that keeping track of all of the numbers was like
> tearing off paper towels and throwing them around the room and then
> trying to keep track of which ones went where. so we decided they need
> labels
> 
> ][<
> 
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