Hey, Butch,
That's right! We already missed it on May 21 and the same 89 year old guy
has moved it back for us to October 21 of this year. If that doesn't work,
well, shoot, he has clear up until, what is it? December 21 of 2012 is the
last day of the Myan calendar? You just may get in a few contacts. Say,
why don't you shoot for your worked all states certificate between the time
you get the radio up and running and the end of the Myan calendar? Now
there's a piece of paper we might be able to get money out of off of EBay,
if that is, we are still here the following day.
Phil.
K0NX
----- Original Message -----
From: "Butch Bussen" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Wednesday, June 15, 2011 2:05 PM
Subject: Re: Scientists predict rare 'hibernation' of sunspots
> Cheer up Phil, the world is supposed to end in 2012 anyhow!!!
> 73
> Butch
> WA0VJR
>
> On Wed, 15
> Jun 2011, Phil Scovell wrote:
>
>> Steve,
>>
>> Thanks for sharing that article. Very interesting and just when Butch
>> forked over a fortune for a new radio, too. Poor fellow. What puzzles
>> me
>> is that I thought we were the cause of climate change and global warming.
>> Now we find out, as if we didn't already know for years, that the sun
>> plays
>> one hell of a roll in climate change. No more long path for a few years,
>> I
>> guess. Bummer. It beats having the sun nova, that's for sure. I
>> definitely don't want to be around for that climate change, when the sun
>> goes nova, that is. Especially when they now know a complete nova, for a
>> sun our size, can cycle through a complete nova in 7 years; start to
>> finish.
>>
>> Phil.
>> K0NX
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: "Steve" <[log in to unmask]>
>> To: <[log in to unmask]>
>> Sent: Wednesday, June 15, 2011 10:28 AM
>> Subject: Scientists predict rare 'hibernation' of sunspots
>>
>>
>>> a.. a.. Print
>>> AFP/File =E2=80=93 For years, scientists have been predicting the Sun =
>>> would move into solar maximum, a period of intense =E2=80=A6=20
>>> by Kerry Sheridan Kerry Sheridan =E2=80=93 Tue Jun 14, 5:38 pm ET
>>> WASHINGTON (AFP) =E2=80=93 For years, scientists have been predicting =
>>> the Sun would by around 2012 move into solar maximum, a period of =
>>> intense flares and sunspot activity, but lately a curious calm has =
>>> suggested quite the opposite.
>>>
>>> According to three studies released in the United States on Tuesday, =
>>> experts believe the familiar sunspot cycle may be shutting down and =
>>> heading toward a pattern of inactivity unseen since the 17th century.
>>>
>>> The signs include a missing jet stream, fading spots, and slower =
>>> activity near the poles, said experts from the National Solar =
>>> Observatory and Air Force Research Laboratory.
>>>
>>> "This is highly unusual and unexpected," said Frank Hill, associate =
>>> director of the NSO's Solar Synoptic Network, as the findings of the =
>>> three studies were presented at the annual meeting of the American =
>>> Astronomical Society's Solar Physics Division in Las Cruces, New Mexico.
>>>
>>> "But the fact that three completely different views of the Sun point in
>>> =
>>> the same direction is a powerful indicator that the sunspot cycle may be
>>> =
>>> going into hibernation."
>>>
>>> Solar activity tends to rise and fall every 11 years or so. The solar =
>>> maximum and solar minimum each mark about half the interval of the =
>>> magnetic pole reversal on the Sun, which happens every 22 years.
>>>
>>> Hill said the current cycle, number 24, "may be the last normal one for
>>> =
>>> some time and the next one, cycle 25, may not happen for some time.
>>>
>>> "This is important because the solar cycle causes space weather which =
>>> affects modern technology and may contribute to climate change," he told
>>> =
>>> reporters.
>>>
>>> Experts are now probing whether this period of inactivity could be a =
>>> second Maunder Minimum, which was a 70-year period when hardly any =
>>> sunspots were observed between 1645-1715, a period known as the "Little
>>> =
>>> Ice Age."
>>>
>>> "If we are right, this could be the last solar maximum we'll see for a =
>>> few decades. That would affect everything from space exploration to =
>>> Earth's climate," said Hill.
>>>
>>> Solar flares and eruptions can send highly charged particles hurtling =
>>> toward Earth and interfere with satellite communications, GPS systems =
>>> and even airline controls.
>>>
>>> Geomagnetic forces have been known to occasionally garble the world's =
>>> modern gadgetry, and warnings were issued as recently as last week when
>>> =
>>> a moderate solar flare sent a coronal mass ejection in the Earth's =
>>> direction.
>>>
>>> The temperature change associated with any reduction in sunspot activity
>>> =
>>> would likely be minimal and may not be enough to offset the impact of =
>>> greenhouse gases on global warming, according to scientists who have =
>>> published recent papers on the topic.
>>>
>>> "Recent solar 11-year cycles are associated empirically with changes in
>>> =
>>> global surface temperature of 0.1 Celsius," said Judith Lean, a solar =
>>> physicist with the US Naval Research Laboratory.
>>>
>>> If the cycle were to stop or slow down, the small fluctuation in =
>>> temperature would do the same, eliminating the slightly cooler effect of
>>> =
>>> a solar minimum compared to the warmer solar maximum. The phenomenon was
>>> =
>>> witnessed during the descending phase of the last solar cycle.
>>>
>>> This "cancelled part of the greenhouse gas warming of the period =
>>> 2000-2008, causing the net global surface temperature to remain =
>>> approximately flat -- and leading to the big debate of why the Earth =
>>> hadn't (been) warming in the past decade," Lean, who was not involved in
>>> =
>>> the three studies presented, said in an email to AFP.
>>>
>>> A study in the March 2010 issue of Geophysical Research Letters explored
>>> =
>>> what effect an extended solar minimum might have, and found no more than
>>> =
>>> a 0.3 Celsius dip by 2100 compared to normal solar fluctuations.
>>>
>>> "A new Maunder-type solar activity minimum cannot offset the global =
>>> warming caused by human greenhouse gas emissions," wrote authors Georg =
>>> Feulner and Stefan Rahmstorf, noting that forecasts by the =
>>> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have found a range of 3.7 =
>>> Celsius to 4.5 Celsius rise by this century's end compared to the latter
>>> =
>>> half of the 20th century.=20
>>>
>>> "Moreover, any offset of global warming due to a grand minimum of solar
>>> =
>>> activity would be merely a temporary effect, since the distinct solar =
>>> minima during the last millennium typically lasted for only several =
>>> decades or a century at most."
>>>
>>
>>
>
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