That's a very bad assumption.  Just so happens, if you got your flu shot
this year you are mostly protected from the current version of the swine flu
(as far as we know at the moment).  The reason being, that the people doing
the predicting guessed correctly on one of what was likely to be the most
likely new variants to show up this year,  Not getting the flu shot each
year greatly increases your odds of catching the flu.
I'll be attending a lecture on Monday by one of the people who heads up the
effort to make the predictions, part of the talk is about how they pick
which flu variants are most likely to show up.  I can already tell you its
an extremely set of sophisticated set of predictions that takes into account
mutation rates (among other things).  Please don't put your health and the
health of others around you at risk, get your flu shots every year!

On Sat, May 9, 2009 at 2:34 PM, Tamar Raine <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

> Yeah, your conclusion is right, Virginia, One reason I don't get flu shots
> is they make them based on last year's flu. They can't really predict it.
>


-- 
Peter Hunsberger

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